יום שבת, 8 בדצמבר 2012

UEFA Champions League 2012-13 Knockout Simulations

Barcelona are big favorites.

Based on 100K simulations.

See the simulations before the GS here:
http://simtheworld.blogspot.com/2012/09/uefa-cl-2012-13-simulations.html

See the methodology here:
http://simtheworld.blogspot.com/2012/09/uefa-cl-and-el-2012-13-simulations.html


Country Team Coefficients Round16 Quarter Semi Finalist Champion
Esp FC Barcelona 10.44086 11.42% 18.09% 17.32% 17.57% 35.60%
Esp Real Madrid 8.52385 23.18% 19.34% 17.59% 15.92% 23.96%
Ger Bayern München 6.60726 30.66% 26.86% 19.66% 12.19% 10.65%
Ger Borussia Dortmund 6.74813 25.28% 32.20% 21.45% 11.78% 9.29%
Eng Manchester United 5.31314 39.80% 28.36% 17.21% 8.78% 5.85%
Por FC Porto 4.10895 53.49% 23.54% 13.25% 6.07% 3.66%
Ita Juventus 4.5066 44.20% 31.52% 15.47% 5.94% 2.87%
Ukr Shakhtar Donetsk 3.60454 57.26% 24.10% 11.92% 4.49% 2.24%
Ger Schalke 04 3.7516 51.05% 31.22% 12.50% 3.71% 1.52%
Esp Málaga CF 3.8878 46.61% 36.17% 12.73% 3.36% 1.12%
Eng Arsenal 2.82149 65.32% 22.33% 8.80% 2.61% 0.94%
Fra Paris Saint-Germain 3.37635 54.16% 31.53% 10.82% 2.67% 0.82%
Esp Valencia 2.97201 61.98% 25.59% 9.25% 2.41% 0.77%
Ita AC Milan 2.37796 71.43% 19.08% 6.96% 1.91% 0.63%
Tur Galatasaray 1.4726 82.15% 14.86% 2.61% 0.34% 0.05%
Sco Celtic 1.48686 82.02% 15.22% 2.48% 0.25% 0.03%

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