FIFA World Cup 2018 Simuations

So after the draw is now known,  I made o million simulations of the tournament using Elo Ratings, adding 100 points for Russia for being hosts.
For full methodology please see:
https://simtheworld.blogspot.com/2012/09/uefa-cl-and-el-2012-13-simulations.html

I will first give the full simulation results, and on the next post I'll analyze the effect of the draw, and who are the winner and losers of the draw

Team	Group	Pot	ELO	Points	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	R16	Quarters	Semis	final	winner	3rd
Brazil	E	1	2096	6.82	71.4%	19.5%	6.8%	2.2%	91.0%	68.1%	53.2%	38.4%	24.3%	10.2%
Germany	F	1	2089	6.72	69.5%	20.4%	7.6%	2.5%	89.9%	67.1%	52.2%	36.5%	21.9%	10.5%
Spain	B	2	2013	5.71	45.7%	32.4%	15.9%	6.0%	78.1%	63.2%	41.2%	22.0%	11.6%	11.5%
Portugal	B	1	1976	5.43	39.3%	34.6%	18.5%	7.7%	73.9%	56.7%	34.4%	16.8%	8.0%	9.7%
France	C	1	1969	5.59	48.2%	27.3%	16.3%	8.3%	75.4%	48.5%	28.2%	13.5%	6.5%	8.3%
Argentina	D	1	1966	5.80	52.0%	26.4%	14.7%	6.9%	78.4%	49.1%	27.7%	13.2%	6.2%	8.0%
England	G	2	1914	5.63	43.1%	34.7%	15.9%	6.4%	77.8%	47.8%	18.8%	9.1%	3.8%	4.7%
Colombia	H	2	1911	5.31	43.9%	27.4%	18.0%	10.8%	71.2%	41.6%	16.2%	7.8%	3.2%	4.1%
Belgium	G	1	1909	5.70	44.3%	34.2%	15.4%	6.2%	78.5%	47.7%	18.4%	8.9%	3.7%	4.6%
Peru	C	2	1866	4.40	25.5%	30.1%	26.1%	18.2%	55.7%	27.9%	12.4%	4.3%	1.6%	3.5%
Uruguay	A	2	1849	5.52	45.8%	29.1%	16.7%	8.4%	74.9%	29.2%	13.0%	4.3%	1.5%	3.7%
Switzerland	E	2	1845	4.11	15.7%	37.2%	28.3%	18.9%	52.9%	18.7%	8.8%	3.5%	1.2%	2.2%
Croatia	D	2	1838	4.34	23.7%	31.0%	26.8%	18.5%	54.7%	24.6%	10.2%	3.2%	1.1%	2.8%
Mexico	F	2	1833	3.96	14.7%	34.2%	30.3%	20.9%	48.8%	16.7%	7.6%	2.9%	1.0%	1.8%
Poland	H	1	1821	4.44	27.4%	28.8%	24.7%	19.0%	56.2%	26.0%	7.3%	2.7%	0.9%	1.8%
Denmark	C	3	1820	3.82	18.0%	26.2%	30.2%	25.7%	44.2%	19.4%	7.4%	2.2%	0.7%	2.0%
Sweden	F	3	1805	3.55	11.2%	29.1%	33.2%	26.5%	40.3%	12.3%	5.2%	1.8%	0.6%	1.2%
Iceland	D	3	1791	3.75	16.7%	26.3%	30.9%	26.2%	42.9%	16.6%	5.8%	1.5%	0.4%	1.6%
Iran	B	3	1791	3.32	10.8%	21.6%	37.9%	29.8%	32.4%	17.2%	6.4%	1.7%	0.5%	1.7%
Russia	A	1	1781	4.91	32.9%	32.0%	22.1%	13.0%	64.9%	19.2%	6.8%	1.7%	0.5%	1.8%
Serbia	E	4	1752	2.93	6.8%	22.5%	32.8%	37.9%	29.3%	7.1%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.6%
Senegal	H	3	1748	3.48	15.4%	22.9%	28.8%	32.9%	38.3%	13.9%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.7%
Japan	H	4	1735	3.23	13.3%	20.9%	28.4%	37.3%	34.3%	11.8%	2.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.5%
Costa Rica	E	3	1728	2.81	6.1%	20.8%	32.2%	41.0%	26.8%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.4%
Australia	C	4	1718	2.69	8.3%	16.4%	27.4%	47.9%	24.7%	7.5%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.5%
South Korea	F	4	1702	2.43	4.6%	16.4%	29.0%	50.1%	20.9%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.3%
Nigeria	D	4	1691	2.64	7.6%	16.3%	27.7%	48.4%	23.9%	6.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.3%
Morocco	B	4	1686	2.17	4.2%	11.4%	27.7%	56.6%	15.7%	6.2%	1.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%
Panama	G	4	1656	2.79	7.1%	16.8%	35.6%	40.4%	24.0%	6.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Egypt	A	3	1654	3.39	13.1%	22.5%	32.2%	32.2%	35.6%	5.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Tunisia	G	3	1619	2.53	5.5%	14.3%	33.2%	47.0%	19.8%	4.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Saudi Arabia	A	4	1596	2.71	8.2%	16.5%	28.9%	46.5%	24.6%	2.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%